Peter A. Bornstein

2030 - Will Computers Become Human?: a Perspective on the Future of the Computer (30 Series) (Volume 1) Peter A. Bornstein 1. izdevums

Who first conceived the idea that someday computers would ?think? in ways that one could not distinguish from a human? Perhaps it was Alan Turing. Born in 1912, this British mathematician, cryptanalyst (in World War II), computer scientist and marathon runner, created the concept and first model of a general purpose computer. It became known as the Turing Machine. More germane to this book is his prediction that computers would someday ?think? so similarly to humans, that if a problem was posed to a human in one room, and a computer in another, the questioner could not distinguish from which room the answer came from. He predicted that this would happen within 50 years with a 30% success rate. Although his prediction did not materialize, recent breakthroughs in artificial intelligence have convinced me that, by 2030, the 30% ?indistinguishable? rate will be achieved or exceeded.